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Market cap vs FDV: what's the difference?

Two valuation numbers that look similar but tell very different stories. Confusing them is how traders miss hidden dilution.

The short version

Two valuation numbers that look similar but tell very different stories. Confusing them is how traders miss hidden dilution.

  • Market cap: Circulating supply × price — the value of currently tradable tokens.
  • FDV: Total supply × price — the value if every token, including locked ones, were circulating.

Side by side

DimensionMarket capFDV
Supply usedCirculating onlyTotal (incl. locked/vesting)
What it revealsCurrent valuationFuture dilution risk
When they matchWhen 100% of supply circulatesSame — FDV = mcap at full float
Red flagHigh mcap on thin liquidityLow mcap but huge FDV (unlock cliff)

Which one should you care about?

Key idea — Use market cap for the now and FDV for what is coming. A big gap between them means large supply is waiting to hit the market — read the tokenomics before holding.

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Education only — not financial advice. Memecoins are extremely high risk.

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