What to do when a new launch is already up 50% before you can buy

How to read the situation

A launch that is already sharply up before you can act usually means heavy sniping or a bundle buy — bots and insiders took the bottom and now hold concentrated early supply.

Buying here often means buying their exit. Check first-block holder concentration before doing anything.

What to do right now

1. Check how much supply the first blocks/bundle took.
2. Look for a cluster of identical early buys.
3. Verify authorities and (if graduated) LP status.
4. If concentration is high, skip — you would be exit liquidity.
5. If you engage at all, size tiny with a tight stop.

What not to do

• ✗ Aping because it is "running".
• ✗ Ignoring heavy first-block concentration.
• ✗ Skipping the safety check because it is early.
• ✗ Sizing a high-variance launch large.